Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin (Tandil)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)


	Santamarina de Tandil		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.87	2.3
	3.5	2.85	2.2
	3.9	2.55	2.23
	3.45	2.75	2.22
	3.98	2.7	2.37
	3.7	2.62	2.25
	3.7	2.75	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.46)	2.73 ↑ (2.71)	2.25 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
24.9%

Draw
33.9%

Chaco For Ever
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

34.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

35%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Chaco For Ever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	62.5%	31.2%

Santamarina de Tandil - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Chaco For Ever will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 37 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Santamarina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chaco For Ever is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chaco For Ever could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chaco For Ever will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.09.22	San Martín de San Juan - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
27.08.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
19.08.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Atlético de Rafaela	3:1 ✺
01.08.22	Guillermo Brown - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWL
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.09.22	Chaco For Ever - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
28.08.22	Guillermo Brown - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Chaco For Ever - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Brown de Adrogué - Chaco For Ever	1:2 ✺
07.08.22	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWW

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