Match Info

Date: 19 August 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.2	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.62	3.25	5.8
	1.65	3.3	5.4
	1.66	3.47	6.31
	1.65	3.1	5.8
	1.62	3.36	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	3.28 ↑ (3.07)	5.71 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
56%

Draw
27.9%

Santamarina de Tandil
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

29.9%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

29.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	7.1%	28.6%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Santamarina will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CA Estudiantes: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 37 in the zone Relegation).

CA Estudiantes in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Santamarina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santamarina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match CA Estudiantes is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's CA Estudiantes to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 1 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams CA Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.08.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2 ✺
06.08.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	3:2 ✺
31.07.22	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
26.07.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
23.07.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWL
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.08.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Atlético de Rafaela	3:1 ✺
01.08.22	Guillermo Brown - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
27.07.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
23.07.22	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1 ✺
18.07.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WLWWT

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