Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Vigor Senigallia		Fossombrone

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.95	3.00
	2.15	3.00	3.05
	2.22	3.06	3.00
	2.23	3.17	3.03	Watch
	2.19	3.00	2.95
	2.03	3.39	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.9)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
41.6%

Draw
29.2%

Fossombrone
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vigor Senigallia's form might have worsened.

Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Vigor Senigallia - Fossombrone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', 🟥,

Preview

Vigor Senigallia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Vigor Senigallia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Vigor Senigallia has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vigor Senigallia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vigor Senigallia	6	4	1	1	14:10	4	13
6	Fossombrone	6	3	1	2	6:9	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
20.09.26	Termoli - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Vigor Senigallia - Giulianova	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Trestina - Vigor Senigallia	2:5 ✺
19.04.26	Castelfidardo - Vigor Senigallia	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLT
- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.09.26	Trestina - Fossombrone	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Fossombrone - L Aquila	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Giulianova - Fossombrone	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cesena - Fossombrone	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.04.26	Atletico Ascoli - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
08.02.26	Vigor Senigallia - Fossombrone	0:0
05.10.25	Fossombrone - Vigor Senigallia	1:2
27.04.25	Vigor Senigallia - Fossombrone	2:2
26.11.23	Fossombrone - Vigor Senigallia	1:0

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