Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Santiago		Atlético Hidalgo

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.7	7.3
	1.35	4.67	7.61	Watch
	1.29	4.75	7.5
	1.29	4.6	9.2
	1.33	4.21	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	4.59 ↑ (4.21)	7.87 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago
68.8%

Draw
19.7%

Atlético Hidalgo
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.2%

21.2%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

19.4%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

The chances for Atlético Hidalgo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Hidalgo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Santiago - Atlético Hidalgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Santiago is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Hidalgo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Santiago is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Santiago will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santiago won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.03.26	Santiago - Club Calor	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cordobés - Santiago	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Santiago - Halcones	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lobos ULMX - Santiago	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Santiago - Real Apodaca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWTW
- Atlético Hidalgo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.03.26	Real Apodaca - Atlético Hidalgo	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Atlético Hidalgo - Avispones de Chilpancingo	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Atlético Hidalgo - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Canamy - Atlético Hidalgo	2:3 ✺
06.02.26	Atlético Hidalgo - Ciervos	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
10.10.25	Atlético Hidalgo - Santiago	1:2

Santiago - Atlético Hidalgo