Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Santiago		Real Apodaca

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.80	4.80
	1.55	3.90	4.40
	1.49	4.36	4.69
	1.54	3.92	5.4	Watch
	1.55	4.05	4.75
	1.46	4.50	5.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.32)	4.09 ↓ (4.3)	4.91 ↓ (8.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago
59.4%

Draw
22.1%

Real Apodaca
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68%

20.9%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago's form might have worsened.

Real Apodaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Apodaca's recent form is better than expected.

Santiago - Real Apodaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 5th and 9th).

Santiago holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Santiago has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 2.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santiago against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
10.10.26	La Tribu de Ciudad Juárez - Santiago	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Zapotlanejo - Santiago	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Santiago	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Santiago - Zacatepec Siglo	2:3 ✺
15.04.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Santiago	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLLLT
- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.26	Real Apodaca - Correcaminos UAT 2	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Real Apodaca - Guerreros de Autlán	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Zapotlanejo - Real Apodaca	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Real Apodaca	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Real Apodaca - Deportiva Venados	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.01.26	Santiago - Real Apodaca	3:0
14.09.25	Real Apodaca - Santiago	3:2 penalties

Santiago - Real Apodaca