Match Info
Date: 23 September 2020, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Santiago Morning |
|
Deportes Valdivia |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.07 |
3.1 |
3 |
|
 |
2.21 |
3 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.32 |
2.96 |
3.32 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.28 |
3.16 |
3.18 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21
(2.21) |
3.05 ↓
(3.36) |
3.15 ↑
(3.13) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santiago Morning
41.3% | Draw
29.8% | Deportes Valdivia
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Deportes Valdivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Morning that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Valdivia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8). Santiago Morning is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Deportes Valdivia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Deportes Valdivia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Santiago Morning will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9. Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Morning won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Chilean Liga de Ascenso | | | 16.09.19 | Deportes Valdivia - Santiago Morning | 1:2 | | 27.04.19 | Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia | 2:0 | | 11.08.18 | Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia | 0:2 | | 27.05.18 | Deportes Valdivia - Santiago Morning | 1:0 | | 28.10.17 | Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia | 0:2 | | 20.02.17 | Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia | 2:3 | | 21.08.16 | Deportes Valdivia - Santiago Morning | 0:1 |
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