Match Info

Date: 23 September 2020, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Santiago Morning		Deportes Valdivia

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.07	3.1	3
	2.21	3	3.1
	2.32	2.96	3.32
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.28	3.16	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 (2.21)	3.05 ↓ (3.36)	3.15 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning
41.3%

Draw
29.8%

Deportes Valdivia
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

19.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Deportes Valdivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Morning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Valdivia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

Santiago Morning is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportes Valdivia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportes Valdivia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santiago Morning will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Morning won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.09.20	Santiago Morning - San Marcos de Arica	0:1 ✺
09.09.20	Santiago Morning - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
06.09.20	Ñublense - Santiago Morning	2:1 ✺
02.09.20	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Morning	0:0 ✺
29.08.20	Santiago Morning - San Luis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLTT
- Deportes Valdivia
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.09.20	Deportes Valdivia - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
17.09.20	Deportes Valdivia - San Luis	1:1 ✺
14.09.20	Barnechea - Deportes Valdivia	3:3 ✺
04.09.20	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Valdivia	0:0 ✺
29.08.20	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.09.19	Deportes Valdivia - Santiago Morning	1:2
27.04.19	Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia	2:0
11.08.18	Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia	0:2
27.05.18	Deportes Valdivia - Santiago Morning	1:0
28.10.17	Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia	0:2
20.02.17	Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia	2:3
21.08.16	Deportes Valdivia - Santiago Morning	0:1

Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning - Deportes Valdivia Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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