Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 11

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday


	Deportes Puerto Montt		Santiago Morning

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.15	2.9	3.5
	2.16	2.77	3.4
	2.2	2.88	3.25
	2.13	3.14	3.35	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.22)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.3 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Puerto Montt
41.8%

Draw
30.8%

Santiago Morning
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Morning Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Puerto Montt will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Santiago Morning will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Santiago Morning have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Montt won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.04.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Rangers de Talca	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - San Luis de Quillota	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.04.23	Bories - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.03.23	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW
- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.04.23	Santiago Wanderers - Santiago Morning	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Morning	2:2 ✺
17.04.23	Santiago Morning - Cobreloa	0:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.04.23	San Antonio Unido - Santiago Morning	0:1 penalties ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.03.23	Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.10.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Morning	2:1
07.05.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0
05.11.21	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Morning	0:0
09.08.21	Santiago Morning - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
10.12.20	Santiago Morning - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2
02.09.20	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Morning	0:0
04.08.19	Santiago Morning - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:0

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