Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Santo André		Esportivo Bento Gonçalves

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.85	3.1
	2.2	2.75	3.5
	2.23	2.7	3.2
	2.26	2.77	3.23
	2.2	2.8	3.6
	2.26	2.84	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.16)	2.79 ↑ (2.72)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
40.5%

Draw
32.5%

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

32.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

23.1%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santo André that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esportivo Bento Gonçalves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Santo André will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santo André won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Serie D
11.09.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Santo André	0:1 ✺
04.09.21	Santo André - Bangu	1:2 ✺
28.08.21	Boavista - Santo André	0:2 ✺
21.08.21	Santo André - Portuguesa	2:2 ✺
14.08.21	São Bento - Santo André	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWTL
- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Serie D
11.09.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Santo André	0:1 ✺
04.09.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Rio Branco PR	4:1 ✺
28.08.21	Grêmio Juventus - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:0 ✺
21.08.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Aimoré	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Caxias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.09.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Santo André	0:1

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