Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 6

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Santo André		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.98	2.18	Watch
	3.31	3.05	2.25
	3.27	2.95	2.23	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.2
	3.32	2.93	2.18
	3.4	2.9	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.85)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
27.7%

Draw
31%

Ferroviária
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Santo André - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Cantarelli M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santo André won 2.

In recent matches, Santo André has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferroviária is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ferroviária is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santo André won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santo André won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.01.26	Internacional de Limeira - Santo André	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Votuporanguense - Santo André	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Santo André - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Santo André - Atlético Monte Azul	0:4 ✺
11.01.26	CA Juventus - Santo André	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWLT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.01.26	Taubaté - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Ferroviária - CA Juventus	5:1 ✺
09.01.26	Osasco Sporting - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
09.02.25	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.23	Ferroviária - Santo André	1:2
12.02.22	Santo André - Ferroviária	2:2
29.04.21	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:2
26.01.20	Santo André - Ferroviária	2:1
14.02.18	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:1
22.02.17	Ferroviária - Santo André	1:1

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