Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 12

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday


	Santo André		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.33
	1.72	3.15	4.65
	1.72	3.12	4.74
	1.73	3.42	4.65
	1.75	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	4.54 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santo André
52.4%

Draw
27.7%

Nova Iguaçu
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26.3%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Santo André - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).

Santo André has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nova Iguaçu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santo André could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santo André is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santo André won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Santo André won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Copa Paulista
05.07.23	Santo André - EC São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	Resende - Santo André	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
01.07.23	Portuguesa - Santo André	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
24.06.23	Santo André - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
17.06.23	Santo André - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	Portuguesa RJ - Nova Iguaçu	2:2 ✺
24.06.23	Nova Iguaçu - Resende	3:0 ✺
19.06.23	Democrata GV - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Nova Iguaçu - Vitória ES	3:2 ✺
10.06.23	Vitória ES - Nova Iguaçu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
20.05.23	Nova Iguaçu - Santo André	0:1
09.07.22	Nova Iguaçu - Santo André	2:1
23.04.22	Santo André - Nova Iguaçu	0:1

Santo André - Nova Iguaçu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide