Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Santomera		Mazarrón

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.15	2.62
	2.47	3.13	2.58
	2.06	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.02)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	2.85 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santomera
39.3%

Draw
28.8%

Mazarrón
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santomera's form might have worsened.

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mazarrón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Santomera - Mazarrón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In recent matches, Santomera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mazarrón's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Santomera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Santomera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.10.25	El Palmar - Santomera	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Santomera - Deportivo Marítimo	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Unión Molinense - Santomera	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Santomera - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Santomera - Muleño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWLT
- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.10.25	Mazarrón - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Mazarrón - Bala Azul	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Olímpico de Totana - Mazarrón	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mazarrón - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Real Murcia B - Mazarrón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLTT

Santomera - Mazarrón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide