The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos 41.8%
Draw 30.8%
Bentín Tacna Heroica 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
30.3%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
30.8%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.
Bentín Tacna Heroica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bentín Tacna Heroica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bentín Tacna Heroica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santos - Bentín Tacna Heroica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Roman C. (G) 10. Aguirre L. 24. Andia R. (C) 9. Curiel M. 3. Estacio M. 26. Franco J. 16. Marcos N. 19. Nunez D. 14. Quiroz G. 11. Rojas Castilla A. S. 8. Tello Y.
1. Sotillo M. (G) 15. Aragon F. 30. Fajardo J. (C) 17. Flores K. 16. Inga J. 27. Linares J. 19. Lopez F. 21. Lopez M. 7. Palomino K. 24. Perez A. 18. Ventura C.
Substitutes
13. Cano A. 5. Collante G. 7. Elias J. 28. Garcia C. 20. Morales G. 21. Rado M. (G) 18. Romero J. 25. Toledo P. 17. Volken L.
2. Benavente R. 29. Duque J. 20. Garcia A. 8. Medina M. 12. Montalvo D. (G) 13. Montufar R. 4. Pena E. 5. Ricra D. 9. Velazquez J. I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Aguirre L. 🟨,
14', Estacio M. 🟨,
40', Perez A. 🟨,
41', Perez A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Curiel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lopez F. ↓, Duque J. ↑,
46', Linares J. ↓, Medina M. ↑,
57', 🟨,
60', Palomino K. ↓, Velazquez J. I. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Estacio M. ⚽,
63', Aguirre L. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
64', Curiel M. ↓, Volken L. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽,
74', Velazquez J. I. 🟨,
78', Rojas Castilla A. S. ↓, Collante G. ↑,
82', Volken L. 🟨,
86', Flores K. ↓, Pena E. ↑,
89', Tello Y. ↓, Toledo P. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Tacna Heroica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
Watch
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Roman C. (G) 
Aguirre L. 
Estacio M. 
Lopez F. 
Lopez M. 
Collante G. 
Duque J. 
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