Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 9

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Nasca (Nazca)


	Santos		Unión Minas

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.85	5.5
	1.51	3.74	5.11
	1.5	4.62	5.43	Watch
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.47	3.86	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.75)	3.91 ↑ (3.27)	5.59 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
60.5%

Draw
23.2%

Unión Minas
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.

Unión Minas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Minas than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santos - Unión Minas Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roman C. (G) 24. Andia R. (C) 23. Carrizales S. 9. Curiel M. 7. Elias J. 3. Estacio M. 16. Marcos N. 14. Quiroz G. 11. Rojas Castilla A. S. 8. Tello Y. 25. Toledo P.	29. Duque L. (G) 5. Campos A. 27. Chavez D. 19. De la Cruz L. 6. Delgado M. 55. Leon B. 20. Quina M. 21. Rupay J. 18. Santibanez S. 3. Soto J. 2. Zamalloa F.
Substitutes
10. Aguirre L. 30. Barrera P. 13. Cano A. 5. Collante G. 26. Franco J. 28. Garcia C. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 19. Nunez D. 17. Volken L.	9. Avila D. 17. Correa M. 10. Garcia C. 8. Lopez S. 11. Martinez S. 7. Ramirez D. 1. Rojas S. (G) 66. Romero P. 80. Sandoval V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Tello Y. 🟨,
14', 🟨,
15', Quina M. 🟨,
37', Quina M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chavez D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Campos A. ⚽,
60', Elias J. ↓, Aguirre L. ↑,
60', Marcos N. ↓, Wesly ↑,
65', Campos A. ↓, Correa M. ↑,
75', De la Cruz L. ↓, Sandoval V. ↑,
77', Rojas Castilla A. S. ↓, Volken L. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent performances by Santos have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Minas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Santos is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
23.05.26	Estudiantil CNI - Santos	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Santos - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Santos - Sport Huancayo 2	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWL
- Unión Minas
Peruvian Liga 2
23.05.26	Unión Minas - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Sport Huancayo 2 - Unión Minas	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Unión Minas - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Ayacucho - Unión Minas	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Unión Minas - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTTT

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