Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Referee: Martinez F. M. G. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Tubi TV


	Santos Laguna		UNAM

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.45	1.42
	5.83	4.75	1.46
	5.24	4.27	1.54	Watch
	5.8	4	1.44
	6.26	4.45	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.73 ↓ (7.95)	4.38 ↓ (5)	1.45 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
16%

Draw
20.9%

UNAM
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.7%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

17.9%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNAM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNAM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santos Laguna - UNAM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reyes A. (G) 31. Cussin Franco F. C. 14. Gomez A. 2. Hernandez Ponce A. G. (C) 6. Ibarra H. 22. Ikechukwu V. 8. Nabweteme S. 5. Novella Y. 3. Pickard S. 10. Rodriguez K. 11. Santana M.	1. Toledo W. (G) 11. Bolanos N. 13. Chavero P. 14. Davila J. (C) 28. Flores S. 16. Guerrero A. 3. Mendoza A. 7. Ribeiro S. 9. Rios X. 8. Serna L. 10. Torres C.
Substitutes
44. Cisneros E. 62. Escareno J. 64. Hernandez B. 17. Martinez M. 4. Peraza M. 61. Ramirez X. 23. Rivas T. (G) 7. Rodriguez D. 20. Romero Torres L. M. 15. Vazquez A.	24. Acosta F. 4. Alvarado M. 22. Becerril K. 29. Carmona E. 21. Delgado F. 6. Dorantes A. 30. Gonzalez M. 27. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 25. Herrera L.
Coaches
Lazcano J.	Frigerio M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Ribeiro S. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Ikechukwu V. ⚽,
12', 1 - 2, Bolanos N. ⚽,
19', Santana M. 🟨,
23', 2 - 2, Ikechukwu V. ⚽,
34', Hernandez Ponce A. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Serna L. ↓, Becerril K. ↑,
46', Cussin Franco F. C. ↓, Romero Torres L. M. ↑,
48', 2 - 3, Ribeiro S. ⚽,
55', Santana M. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
67', Vazquez A. 🟨,
74', Davila J. ↓, Alvarado M. ↑,
74', Flores S. ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
74', Bolanos N. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
77', Becerril K. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 3 - 3, ⚽,
84', Guerrero A. ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90', 3 - 4, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 0.

Santos Laguna is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UNAM is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, UNAM is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:31. (average 0.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
28.08.25	Club America - Santos Laguna	6:3 ✺
16.08.25	Monterrey - Santos Laguna	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Pachuca - Santos Laguna	3:1 ✺
04.08.25	Santos Laguna - Chivas Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Santos Laguna - Tigres UANL	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLLWL
- UNAM Pumas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
25.08.25	UNAM - Tijuana	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	UNAM - Club America	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Puebla - UNAM	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	UNAM - Cruz Azul	3:1 ✺
31.07.25	Pachuca - UNAM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
14.01.25	UNAM - Santos Laguna	6:1
29.09.24	Santos Laguna - UNAM	1:3
31.03.24	Santos Laguna - UNAM	2:3
05.08.23	UNAM - Santos Laguna	1:0
25.02.23	UNAM - Santos Laguna	4:1
15.08.22	Santos Laguna - UNAM	1:2
31.01.22	UNAM - Santos Laguna	4:0

Santos Laguna - UNAM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide