Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Santos U20		EC São Bernardo U20

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.2	5.25
	1.35	4.45	6.9
	1.42	4.16	6.07
	1.18	7.28	9.85	Watch
	1.5	4.35	5.44
	1.44	4.19	5.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	4.77 ↑ (4.25)	6.47 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos U20
66.4%

Draw
19.4%

EC São Bernardo U20
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

20.2%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

EC São Bernardo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo U20 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Santos U20 - EC São Bernardo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Santos U20 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

EC São Bernardo U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Santos U20 is the team to beat.

We predict that Santos U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.09.25	Santos U20 - Corinthians U20	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Corinthians U20 - Santos U20	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Santos U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	3:0 ✺
05.09.25	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Santos U20	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Santos U20 - Velo Clube U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWW
- EC São Bernardo U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.09.25	EC São Bernardo U20 - União Suzano U20	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	União Suzano U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	EC São Bernardo U20 - Internacional de Limeira U20	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Internacional de Limeira U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Ferroviaria U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
17.05.25	Santos U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	2:1
Brazilian Copinha
13.01.24	Santos U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	4:0
13.01.23	EC São Bernardo U20 - Santos U20	1:2

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