Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 15

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Santos U20		Mirassol U20

	1	X	2
	1.21	6.00	8.75
	1.35	4.60	6.50
	1.19	5.91	9.55
	1.23	6.04	8.98	Watch
	1.16	5.50	12.00
	1.18	7.52	9.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.35)	5.93 ↑ (4.5)	9.24 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos U20
74.7%

Draw
15.4%

Mirassol U20
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.9%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

18.7%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos U20's performance.

Mirassol U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol U20 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Santos U20 - Mirassol U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Santos U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Santos U20 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mirassol U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mirassol U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santos U20 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos U20
Copa do Brasil U20
10.09.26	Santos U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Santos U20	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Santos U20 - America SP U20	7:0 ✺
14.08.26	Itapirense U20 - Santos U20	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Santos U20 - São Bento U20	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW
- Mirassol U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Mirassol U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Mirassol U20	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Sertãozinho U20 - Mirassol U20	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Mirassol U20 - Itapirense U20	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	America SP U20 - Mirassol U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
07.06.25	Mirassol U20 - Santos U20	0:1
03.09.24	Santos U20 - Mirassol U20	4:0
31.08.24	Mirassol U20 - Santos U20	1:0
Brazilian Copinha
18.01.22	Mirassol U20 - Santos U20	2:3 penalties
11.01.18	Santos U20 - Mirassol U20	2:1 penalties

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