Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 14

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Mirassol U20		Ponte Preta U20

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.50	3.80
	2.02	3.35	3.05
	1.65	3.94	4.4
	1.74	3.61	4.14	Watch
	1.63	3.55	4.2
	1.8	3.65	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.02)	3.6 ↑ (3.35)	3.93 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol U20
51.5%

Draw
25.3%

Ponte Preta U20
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

24.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol U20's performance.

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol U20 than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirassol U20 - Ponte Preta U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Mirassol U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ponte Preta U20's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mirassol U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Mirassol U20	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Sertãozinho U20 - Mirassol U20	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Mirassol U20 - Itapirense U20	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	America SP U20 - Mirassol U20	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Mirassol U20 - Ferroviaria U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLT
- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	CA Juventus U20 - Ponte Preta U20	5:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:4 ✺
31.07.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Ponte Preta U20 - União Suzano U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
31.05.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Mirassol U20	2:0

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