Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Santurtzi		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.90	2.65
	2.45	2.92	2.7
	2.69	2.94	2.71
	2.66	2.97	2.66	Watch
	2.6	2.75	2.55
	2.63	2.84	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.46)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)	2.64 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santurtzi
34.8%

Draw
31.2%

Lagun Onak
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 2.

Lagun Onak could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Santurtzi has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santurtzi against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Santurtzi	8	3	0	5	6:10	-4	9
15	Lagun Onak	8	2	1	5	8:13	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Santurtzi - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.31%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.09.26	Derio - Santurtzi	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Santurtzi - Durango	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Durango - Santurtzi	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Zamudio - Santurtzi	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Zarautz KE - Santurtzi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTW
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.09.26	Real Sociedad C - Lagun Onak	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Derio - Lagun Onak	2:0 ET ✺
16.04.26	Lagun Onak - Durango	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Aretxabaleta - Lagun Onak	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Lagun Onak - Zamudio	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.26	Santurtzi - Lagun Onak	0:1
16.11.25	Lagun Onak - Santurtzi	1:2
12.01.25	Santurtzi - Lagun Onak	2:3
25.08.19	Santurtzi - Lagun Onak	2:1
17.03.19	Santurtzi - Lagun Onak	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
06.01.18	Lagun Onak - Santurtzi	2:0
27.08.17	Santurtzi - Lagun Onak	1:0

Santurtzi - Lagun Onak