Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Aretxabaleta		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	2.82	3	2.35
	2.49	3.12	2.71
	2.96	3.14	2.32
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.46	3.04	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.89)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)	2.53 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aretxabaleta
34.3%

Draw
29.9%

Lagun Onak
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Aretxabaleta - Lagun Onak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Aretxabaleta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lagun Onak is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	UD Aretxabaleta	5	2	2	1	4:3	1	8
9	Lagun Onak	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.04.26	Deusto - Aretxabaleta	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Aretxabaleta - Portugalete	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	San Ignacio - Aretxabaleta	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Aretxabaleta - Derio	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Touring KE - Aretxabaleta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WTWLT
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.04.26	Lagun Onak - Zamudio	5:0 ✺
28.03.26	Santurtzi - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Lagun Onak - Real Sociedad C	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Pasaia - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Zarautz KE - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.12.25	Lagun Onak - Aretxabaleta	2:0
30.03.25	Lagun Onak - Aretxabaleta	0:2

Aretxabaleta - Lagun Onak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide