Match Info

Date: 23 June 2022, Thursday


	Sarajevo		Iskra Danilovgrad

	1	X	2
	1.12	8.25	15
	1.12	7	12
	1.16	6	10
	1.09	7.1	11.46
	1.42	4.2	5.8
	1.1	8.5	16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.75)	6.84 ↑ (3.74)	11.71 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarajevo
78.7%

Draw
13.4%

Iskra Danilovgrad
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.3%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarajevo's performance.

Iskra Danilovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iskra Danilovgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarajevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Danilovgrad than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iskra Danilovgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Sarajevo - Iskra Danilovgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sarajevo will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Iskra will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarajevo: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Sarajevo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Iskra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sarajevo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
27.05.22	Velež Mostar - Sarajevo	3:0 ✺
22.05.22	Sarajevo - Sloboda Tuzla	1:0 ✺
Bosnian Cup
19.05.22	Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	0:1 penalties ✺
Bosnian Premier League
14.05.22	Široki Brijeg - Sarajevo	2:0 ✺
10.05.22	Sarajevo - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLT
- Iskra Danilovgrad
Montenegrin First League
24.05.22	Iskra Danilovgrad - Zeta	0:2 ✺
20.05.22	Podgorica - Iskra Danilovgrad	3:2 ✺
14.05.22	Iskra Danilovgrad - Mornar Bar	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Petrovac - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:4 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
04.05.22	Dečić Tuzi - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWL

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