Match Info

MONTENEGRO: PRVA CRNOGORSKA LIGA - ROUND 36

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Mitar Mico Golis (Petrovac)

Referee: Bjelica V. (Mne)


	Petrovac		Iskra Danilovgrad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.8	8.25
	1.24	4.31	9.94
	1.25	4.33	10
	1.28	5.05	9.3
	1.29	5	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (2.08)	4.7 ↑ (3.26)	9.22 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrovac
71.1%

Draw
19.2%

Iskra Danilovgrad
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

29.3%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petrovac's performance.

Iskra Danilovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iskra Danilovgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrovac than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petrovac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Danilovgrad than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iskra Danilovgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Petrovac - Iskra Danilovgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Petrovac will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Iskra will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Petrovac: 39.2% – 89.4%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jelovac M. (G) 94. Adzovic A. 33. Boljevic D. (C) 80. Boricic B. 14. Brnovic M. 30. Dubljevic B. 4. Franeta M. 66. Malesevic L. 10. Mamadou M. 2. Vojvodić M. 7. Zvrko N.	50. Radusinovic V. (G) 4. Boljevic V. 15. Jankovic B. 10. Kalezic M. (C) 80. Knezevic S. 28. Kolundzic A. 9. Nikac D. 19. Obradovic O. 21. Popovic Z. 7. Sentoku A. 5. Vukotic N.
Substitutes
15. Dragovic V. 24. Femic F. 3. Matejic V. 20. Perovic D. 23. Radenovic V. 12. Radosevic D. (G) 18. Vickovic V.	23. Gjolaj M. 3. Mitrovic F. 47. Obradovic B. 99. Pavicevic P. 8. Pavlicevic P. 98. Perovic F. 2. Tomasevic A. 12. Zlajic I. (G)
Coaches
Ivanovic D.	Lambulic M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches OFK Petrovac won 2.

OFK Petrovac is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Iskra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match OFK Petrovac is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 28 head-to-head matches OFK Petrovac won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 26-42.

Including matches at home between the teams OFK Petrovac won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFK Petrovac
Montenegrin First League
21.05.23	Sutjeska - Petrovac	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Petrovac - Mornar Bar	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Petrovac	4:2 ✺
29.04.23	Petrovac - Jezero	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Dečić Tuzi - Petrovac	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Iskra Danilovgrad
Montenegrin First League
21.05.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Jezero - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1:1 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
03.05.23	Arsenal Tivat - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:3 penalties ✺
Montenegrin First League
29.04.23	Arsenal Tivat - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
01.04.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Petrovac	2:2
03.12.22	Petrovac - Iskra Danilovgrad	1:0
17.09.22	Iskra Danilovgrad - Petrovac	1:2
08.05.22	Petrovac - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:4
09.03.22	Iskra Danilovgrad - Petrovac	2:0
20.11.21	Petrovac - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:1
28.08.21	Iskra Danilovgrad - Petrovac	4:1

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