Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 9

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		Belgrano 2

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	3.05	3.05	2.2
	3.21	3.14	2.2
	3.15	3.2	2.19	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.96)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.22 (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
30.1%

Draw
29%

Belgrano 2
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.3%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Belgrano 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 27 and 6).

Sarmiento 2 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belgrano 2 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Belgrano 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Belgrano 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.03.23	River Plate 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Racing Club 2	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Rosario Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTL
- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.03.23	Belgrano 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Lanús 2 - Belgrano 2	1:3 ✺
05.03.23	Belgrano 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	0:0 ✺
24.02.23	Tigre 2 - Belgrano 2	2:0 ✺
16.02.23	Belgrano 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTLW

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