Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Sarnese		Savoia

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	1.95	3.3	3.35
	2	3.42	3.16
	1.99	3.43	3.41
	1.98	3.43	3.64
	1.94	3.35	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	3.42 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarnese
46.3%

Draw
27.1%

Savoia
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

26%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sarnese - Savoia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, de Nova I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
64', 1 - 1, Maniero R. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Maniero R. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Fiasco A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Sarnese in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Savoia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sarnese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sarnese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sarnese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group G
17.04.25	Olbia - Sarnese	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Sarnese - Paganese	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sarnese - Real Monterotondo	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Trastevere - Sarnese	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Sarnese - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWT
- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group G
17.04.25	Savoia - Terracina	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Savoia - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Puteolana - Savoia	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Savoia - Atletico Lodigiani	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Olbia - Savoia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
17.03.19	Savoia - Sarnese	3:2
14.11.18	Sarnese - Savoia	0:1

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