Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 6

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday


	Sarpsborg 2		Bærum

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.25	1.31
	6.48	5.39	1.3
	6.48	5.39	1.29
	7	5.5	1.25
	7.26	5.57	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.74 ↑ (6.24)	5.42 ↑ (5)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 2
13.4%

Draw
16.7%

Bærum
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

17.9%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Job D. ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, Job D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Sarpsborg 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bærum is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bærum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bærum is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
06.05.24	Ullern - Sarpsborg 2	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Asker Fotball	0:3 ✺
22.04.24	Oppsal - Sarpsborg 2	4:3 ✺
14.04.24	Åskollen - Sarpsborg 2	2:4 ✺
08.04.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Flint	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWT
- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
05.05.24	Bærum - Frigg Oslo	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Gamle Oslo - Bærum	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Bærum - Stabæk	0:5 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
20.04.24	Bærum - Åskollen	5:3 ✺
16.04.24	Mjøndalen 2 - Bærum	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW

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