Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday


	Sarpsborg 2		Eik-Tønsberg

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	2.85
	2.1	3.65	2.63
	2.16	3.45	2.65
	1.79	3.66	3.39
	1.91	3.5	3.1
	1.81	3.98	3.38
	2.05	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (3.28)	3.67 ↓ (3.99)	2.99 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 2
45.5%

Draw
24.5%

Eik-Tønsberg
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

22.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

21.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarpsborg 2's performance.

Eik-Tønsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eik-Tønsberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarpsborg 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eik-Tønsberg than the current prediction. (+21.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eik-Tønsberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	13.3%	20%

Sarpsborg 2 - Eik Tønsberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sarpsborg 2 will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Eik-Tønsberg will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg 2: 42.8% – 90.6%.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 4).

Sarpsborg 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eik-Tønsberg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sarpsborg 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Eik-Tønsberg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
24.09.22	Mandalskameratene - Sarpsborg 2	3:1 ✺
19.09.22	Sarpsborg 2 - Follo	2:4 ✺
12.09.22	IL Express - Sarpsborg 2	1:1 ✺
06.09.22	Sarpsborg 2 - Fredrikstad 2	4:1 ✺
29.08.22	Pors - Sarpsborg 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWL
- Eik-Tønsberg
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
28.09.22	Eik-Tønsberg - Follo	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Eik-Tønsberg - Vindbjart	2:2 ✺
17.09.22	Sprint-Jeloy - Eik-Tønsberg	0:2 ✺
10.09.22	Eik-Tønsberg - Mandalskameratene	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Fram Larvik - Eik-Tønsberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
25.07.22	Eik-Tønsberg - Sarpsborg 2	4:1

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