Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Sarrabus Ogliastra		Casertana

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.71	3.06	2.2
	2.89	3.2	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.71)	3.15 ↑ (3.06)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarrabus Ogliastra
32%

Draw
28.4%

Casertana
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarrabus Ogliastra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out) and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Casertana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
28.01.23	Atletico Uri - Sarrabus Ogliastra	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Vis Artena	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Pomezia - Sarrabus Ogliastra	3:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Puteolana - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
08.01.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Arzachena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWLT
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
29.01.23	Casertana - Cassino	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Paganese - Casertana	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Casertana - Ilvamaddalena	3:0 ✺
08.01.23	Nola - Casertana	1:2 ✺
21.12.22	Palmese 1914 - Casertana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWWL

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