Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marcello Torre (Pagani)


	Paganese		Casertana

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3
	2	3.4	3.1
	2	3.34	2.95
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.07	3.52	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	3.39 ↑ (3.32)	3.04 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
44.1%

Draw
26.4%

Casertana
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paganese won 2.

Paganese is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casertana is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paganese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Paganese won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
14.05.23	Paganese - Romana	3:2 ✺
07.05.23	Tivoli Calcio - Paganese	3:1 ✺
30.04.23	Paganese - Pomezia	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Romana - Paganese	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Paganese - Real Monterotondo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWTW
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
14.05.23	Casertana - Arzachena	3:3 ✺
07.05.23	Casertana - Palmese 1914	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Aprilia - Casertana	4:1 ✺
23.04.23	Casertana - Angri	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Portici - Casertana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
22.01.23	Paganese - Casertana	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
02.05.21	Casertana - Paganese	1:1
17.01.21	Paganese - Casertana	1:3
01.12.19	Casertana - Paganese	1:3
24.03.19	Paganese - Casertana	2:2
24.11.18	Casertana - Paganese	4:1
31.03.18	Paganese - Casertana	1:1

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