Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Sarrabus Ogliastra		Sarnese

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.25
	2.9	3.15	2.28
	2.93	3.26	2.27	Watch
	2.92	3.13	2.29
	2.9	3.15	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarrabus Ogliastra
31.3%

Draw
28.8%

Sarnese
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

28.5%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarrabus Ogliastra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Sarnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Vecchione P. ⚽,
29', Calabrese A. 🟥,
45+3', 0 - 2, Pezzi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 2, Pinna G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Sarrabus Ogliastra is Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out )

Sarnese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs )

Sarrabus Ogliastra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarnese is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarrabus Ogliastra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.04.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Cynthialbalonga	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Savoia - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Terracina	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Olbia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWT
- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.04.25	Sarnese - Savoia	1:3 ✺
17.04.25	Olbia - Sarnese	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Sarnese - Paganese	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sarnese - Real Monterotondo	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Trastevere - Sarnese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
22.12.24	Sarnese - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:2

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Sarnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide