Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sarrabus Ogliastra		Valmontone

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Sarrabus Ogliastra
36.6%

Draw
27.4%

Valmontone
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27.5%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sarrabus Ogliastra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Valmontone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmontone than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Sarrabus Ogliastra has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valmontone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
07.12.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Budoni - Sarrabus Ogliastra	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Montespaccato	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Albalonga - Sarrabus Ogliastra	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLTL
- Valmontone 1921
Italian Serie D - Group G
07.12.25	Valmontone - Cassino	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Montespaccato - Valmontone	3:4 ✺
23.11.25	Valmontone - Budoni	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Ancona - Valmontone	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
16.11.25	Palmese 1914 - Valmontone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Valmontone