Match Info
Serie D - Group G - Round 14Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Montespaccato |
|
Valmontone |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.72 |
3.1 |
2.35 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.34 |
2.33 |
Watch |
 |
2.84 |
3.05 |
2.37 |
|
 |
3 |
3 |
2.3 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.83 ↑ (2.79) |
3.12 ↓ (3.35) |
2.34 ↑ (2.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montespaccato 32.1% | Draw 29.1% | Valmontone 38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Valmontone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmontone than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Montespaccato - Valmontone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 3', 0 - 1, Roberti F. ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Roberti F. ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 3, Roberti F. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, Vitelli R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 64', 1 - 4, Polletta R. ⚽,
- 72', 2 - 4, Cervoni G. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 4, Ruggiero G. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 9).Montespaccato has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Valmontone is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Montespaccato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;