Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie D - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio del Conero (Ancona)


	Ancona		Valmontone

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	3.75
	1.95	3.15	3.5
	1.83	3.26	4.29	Watch
	1.92	3.22	3.7
	1.87	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.82 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
47.8%

Draw
28.5%

Valmontone
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Valmontone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ancona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmontone than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Ancona - Valmontone Predictions

Users Predictions: Ancona will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ancona will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Bonaccorsi S. ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, Valentini G. ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Preview

Ancona is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Valmontone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ancona is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.25	Ancona - Vigor Senigallia	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Sora - Ancona	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Ancona - Giulianova	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Maceratese - Ancona	1:5 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Ancona - Atletico Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWW
- Valmontone 1921
Italian Serie D - Group G
16.11.25	Palmese 1914 - Valmontone	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Valmontone - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Anzio - Valmontone	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Valmontone - Albalonga	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Valmontone - Orvietana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWW

Ancona - Valmontone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide