Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 28

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Sassari Torres		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.7
	2	2.9	3.6
	1.93	2.79	4.39
	2	3	3.7
	1.89	3.28	3.96	Watch
	1.93	3.05	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.2)	3 ↑ (2.75)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassari Torres
46.5%

Draw
30.2%

Alessandria
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sassari Torres's performance.

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sassari Torres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sassari Torres - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Torres is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alessandria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torres will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torres won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Torres won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
15.02.23	Siena - Sassari Torres	2:2
04.02.23	Sassari Torres - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
31.01.23	Vis Pesaro - Sassari Torres	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Sassari Torres - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Imolese - Sassari Torres	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLTW
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
12.02.23	Alessandria - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Pontedera - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
31.01.23	Alessandria - Rimini	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Carrarese - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Reggiana - Alessandria	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
19.10.22	Alessandria - Sassari Torres	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.03.15	Alessandria - Sassari Torres	1:1
08.11.14	Sassari Torres - Alessandria	0:2
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
12.01.14	Sassari Torres - Alessandria	2:1
08.09.13	Alessandria - Sassari Torres	1:1

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