The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carrarese 55%
Draw 26.4%
Alessandria 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.8%
23.8%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
23.6%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.
Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandria's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carrarese - Alessandria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0.
Carrarese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Alessandria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Carrarese is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.