Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 19

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Vanni Sanna (Sassari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Sassari Torres		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.54	3.8	6
	1.51	3.75	6.72
	1.54	3.74	6.68
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.48	3.75	6.39	Watch
	1.54	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.88)	3.76 ↑ (3.33)	6.29 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassari Torres
61%

Draw
24.4%

Lucchese
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sassari Torres's performance.

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucchese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sassari Torres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucchese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sassari Torres - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zaccagno A. (G) 14. Idda R. 23. Antonelli N. 3. Mercadante M. 77. Zecca G. 4. Brentan M. 24. Giorico D. 19. Guiebre A. 9. Scotto L. (C) 70. Varela Djamanca M. 20. Fischnaller M.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 30. Gemignani A. 13. Fazzi N. 6. Gasbarro A. 29. Antoni E. 14. Quirini E. 27. Gucher R. 8. Tumbarello G. 21. Visconti E. 70. Saporiti E. 90. Costantino R.
Substitutes
18. Casini R. 6. Coccolo L. 5. Dametto P. 11. Diakite A. 30. Fabriani C. 7. Liviero M. 32. Nanni N. 1. Petriccione D. (G) 22. Petricciuolo C. (G) 27. Zambataro E.	12. Allegrucci L. (G) 23. Botrini T. 26. Cartano R. 31. Catanese G. 1. Coletta J. (G) 7. Djibril M. 5. Frison F. 38. Leone M. 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Visconti E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Varela Djamanca M. ↓, Nanni N. ↑,
61', Zecca G. ↓, Zambataro E. ↑,
63', Giorico D. 🟨,
64', Gucher R. ↓, Catanese G. ↑,
64', Costantino R. ↓, Sasanelli L. ↑,
81', Scotto L. ↓, Liviero M. ↑,
82', Idda R. ↓, Dametto P. ↑,
85', Gemignani A. 🟨,
89', Saporiti E. ↓, Frison F. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 15).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Torres could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Torres is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Torres won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Torres won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.24	Carpi - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Sassari Torres - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Sassari Torres - Milan Futuro	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.24	SPAL - Sassari Torres	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Sassari Torres - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
09.12.24	Lucchese - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
25.11.24	Lucchese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Ternana - Lucchese	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	Lucchese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.02.24	Lucchese - Sassari Torres	0:2
08.10.23	Sassari Torres - Lucchese	2:0
04.02.23	Sassari Torres - Lucchese	1:1
09.10.22	Lucchese - Sassari Torres	0:0

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