The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sasso Marconi 12%
Draw 22.4%
Lentigione 65.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.5%
24%
60.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15%
23.3%
62.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lentigione's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Sasso Marconi - Lentigione Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Gattor G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 1 - 1, Nanni L. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Cellai B. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 0.
Recent form of Sasso Marconi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lentigione is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Sasso Marconi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Lentigione is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sasso Marconi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
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