The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lentigione 34.8%
Draw 30.3%
Pistoiese 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
31.3%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
31.8%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Lentigione aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Lentigione - Pistoiese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 1.
Lentigione is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pistoiese is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Pistoiese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Lentigione won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
Watch
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