Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Crema		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.1	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.14	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crema
43.6%

Draw
28.8%

Sasso Marconi
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Crema - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Pavesi R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Recent performances by Crema have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sasso Marconi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Crema could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Crema won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Crema won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Crema	6	1	1	4	4:14	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.02.26	Tropical Coriano - Crema	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Trevigliese - Crema	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Crema - Pro Sesto	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Progresso - Crema	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Crema - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWT
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.02.26	Sasso Marconi - Piacenza	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Pro Sesto - Sasso Marconi	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Sasso Marconi - Pro Palazzolo	2:3 ✺
25.01.26	Trevigliese - Sasso Marconi	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Sasso Marconi - Pistoiese	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Sasso Marconi - Crema	0:1
16.02.20	Sasso Marconi - Crema	1:2
13.10.19	Crema - Sasso Marconi	2:2
04.11.18	Crema - Sasso Marconi	0:3

Crema - Sasso Marconi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide