Match Info

Serie A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
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Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
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Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	DAZN, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Silk Universal
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Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
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Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
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Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
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Serbia	Arena Premium 3
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Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
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Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sassuolo		Juventus

	1	X	2
	5.50	3.90	1.62	Watch
	5.25	3.80	1.66
	5.20	3.95	1.62	Watch
	5.60	4.00	1.69
	5.76	4.1	1.63	Watch
	5.50	3.85	1.67
	5.59	4.05	1.70
	5.40	4.00	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↓ (5.58)	3.96 ↑ (3.94)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
17.6%

Draw
24.3%

Juventus
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

24%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

23.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	10.3%	87.2%

Sassuolo - Juventus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Sassuolo (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (1.78) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventus will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Juventus (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Muric A. (G) 46. Cinquegrano S. 21. Idzes J. 16. Leysen F. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. 18. Matic N. 35. Lipani L. 10. Berardi D. (C) 94. Esposito Se. 45. Lauriente A.	25. Vicario G. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer (C) 26. Lucumi J. 2. Celik Z. 12. Douglas Luiz 8. Koopmeiners T. 7. Conceicao F. 31. Gonzalez N. 17. Alajbegovic K. 9. Kolo Muani R.
Substitutes
17. Adzic V. 50. Bakola D. 9. Bowie K. 15. Caleta-Car D. 25. Dominguez B. 8. Ghion A. 22. Nyarko L. (G) 33. Obrador R. 26. Odenthal C. 77. Pierini N. 19. Skjellerup L. 55. Sulemana I. 80. Turati S. (G) 20. Van der Brempt I.	4. Gatti F. 1. Grabara K. (G) 6. Kelly L. 45. Oboavwoduo J. 41. Owusu A. 43. Pagnucco F. 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 24. Rugani D. 29. Sarr P. M. 27. Woltemade N. 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Lucumi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Lucumi J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
48', Lipani L. 🟨,
55', Lipani L. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
60', Conceicao F. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
60', Gonzalez N. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Esposito Se. ⚽, Matic N. (A),
71', Esposito Se. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
71', Berardi D. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
71', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
71', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
76', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
81', Idzes J. ↓, Caleta-Car D. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Zhegrova E. ⚽,
87', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Oboavwoduo J. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Bowie K. ⚽, Bakola D. (A),
90+1', 2 - 2, Zhegrova E. ⚽, Kolo Muani R. (A),
90+3', Leysen F. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Adzic V. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Juventus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Juventus has had a series of home games.

In this match, Juventus is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Kone I. (Broken Leg) Paz Y. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Volpato C. (Thigh Injury) Walukiewicz S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Boga J. (Muscle Injury) Cabal J. (Thigh Injury) Ekhator J. (Muscle Injury) Locatelli M. (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Inactive) Thuram K. (Knee Injury) Yildiz K. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Bakola D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Cambiaso A. (Ankle Injury) McKennie W. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:49. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.2:2.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 7.65% Sassuolo: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
06.09.26	Bologna - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Sassuolo - Frosinone	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Sassuolo - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atalanta - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Sassuolo - Cesena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWLW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
06.09.26	Juventus - Milan	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Frosinone - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.26	Juventus - Palermo	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Juventus - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.03.26	Juventus - Sassuolo	1:1
06.01.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	0:3
16.01.24	Juventus - Sassuolo	3:0
23.09.23	Sassuolo - Juventus	4:2
16.04.23	Sassuolo - Juventus	1:0
15.08.22	Juventus - Sassuolo	3:0
25.04.22	Sassuolo - Juventus	1:2

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