The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sassuolo 38.1%
Draw 26.5%
Fiorentina 35.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.5%
26.9%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
26.8%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Sassuolo - Fiorentina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 14th and 18th in the Relegation - Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:33 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sassuolo against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Sassuolo
8
2
2
4
12:16
-4
8
18
Fiorentina
8
1
1
6
9:19
-10
4
Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
Fiorentina: 0.08% Sassuolo: 0.07%
Last Results with these Odds
Sassuolo - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Fiorentina - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.54%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.