Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bologna		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	4
	1.90	3.50	3.90
	1.95	3.4	3.95	Watch
	1.98	3.58	4.22
	1.92	3.56	4.06	Watch
	1.93	3.5	4.2
	1.98	3.63	4.24
	1.95	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.96)	3.55 ↑ (3.41)	4.07 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
49.4%

Draw
27%

Sassuolo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

28.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	13.3%	11.1%

Bologna - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 5 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 63.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sassuolo (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 2. Holm E. 14. Heggem T. 3. Theate A. 23. Alhassane R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 4. Pobega T. 10. Bernardeschi F. 21. Odgaard J. 28. Cambiaghi N. 91. Piccoli R.	49. Muric A. (G) 46. Cinquegrano S. 21. Idzes J. 16. Leysen F. 3. Doig J. 17. Adzic V. 18. Matic N. (C) 35. Lipani L. 7. Volpato C. 9. Bowie K. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
8. Amondarain M. 29. De Silvestri L. 9. Dovbyk A. 22. Enem J. 5. Fauske Helland E. 72. Happonen U. (G) 18. Libra M. 11. Mbangula S. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 25. Pessina M. (G) 41. Vitik M. 20. Zortea N.	10. Berardi D. 15. Caleta-Car D. 25. Dominguez B. 94. Esposito Se. 8. Ghion A. 33. Obrador R. 26. Odenthal C. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 19. Skjellerup L. 55. Sulemana I. 42. Thorstvedt K. 80. Turati S. (G) 20. Van der Brempt I.
Coaches
Tedesco D.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Doig J. ⚽,
38', Volpato C. ↓, Berardi D. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Alhassane R. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
46', Odgaard J. ↓, Libra M. ↑,
46', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Piccoli R. ⚽, Miranda J. (A),
51', Holm E. 🟨,
54', Idzes J. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Adzic V. ⚽,
60', Adzic V. ↓, Thorstvedt K. ↑,
60', Lipani L. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
66', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
80', Matic N. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
80', Doig J. ↓, Obrador R. ↑,
86', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Dovbyk A. ⚽,
90+1', Dovbyk A. 🟨,
90+4', Tedesco D. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2.

Bologna is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sassuolo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bologna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bologna might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bologna: El Azzouzi O. (Thigh Injury) Orsolini R. (Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Kone I. (Broken Leg) Paz Y. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Walukiewicz S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.25% Bologna: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
31.08.26	Atalanta - Bologna	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bologna	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Bologna - Iraklis	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Bologna - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWT
- US Sassuolo
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Sassuolo - Frosinone	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Sassuolo - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atalanta - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Sassuolo - Cesena	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.26	Augsburg - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Sassuolo - Bologna	0:1
28.12.25	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:1
03.02.24	Bologna - Sassuolo	4:2
28.10.23	Sassuolo - Bologna	1:1
08.05.23	Sassuolo - Bologna	1:1
12.11.22	Bologna - Sassuolo	3:0
15.05.22	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:3

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