Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Saturn Ramenskoye		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.6	1.42
	4.65	3.75	1.6
	4.6	4.2	1.48
	4.74	4.25	1.5
	5	4.55	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (4.18)	4.27 ↑ (3.94)	1.5 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saturn Ramenskoye
18.5%

Draw
21.2%

Rodina Moscow
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.6%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

19%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saturn Ramenskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodina Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Saturn Ramenskoye - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Saturn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodina in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saturn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rodina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Saturn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saturn Ramenskoye
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
26.09.21	Kolomna - Saturn Ramenskoye	3:2 ✺
18.09.21	Saturn Ramenskoye - Saransk	1:3 ✺
14.09.21	Krasnoye Znamya - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:1 ✺
10.09.21	Saturn Ramenskoye - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:1 ✺
04.09.21	Strogino Moskva - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
26.09.21	Rodina Moscow - Metallurg Vidnoe	5:0 ✺
14.09.21	Kolomna - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
10.09.21	Rodina Moscow - Kvant Obninsk	3:1 ✺
04.09.21	Saransk - Rodina Moscow	0:5 ✺
29.08.21	Rodina Moscow - Krasnoye Znamya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
01.08.21	Rodina Moscow - Saturn Ramenskoye	4:2

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