Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 6d 4h 📅 Remind Me


	Rodina Moscow		Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	4.78	4.14	1.67
	4.65	4.05	1.62
	5.12	4.31	1.70
	5.6	3.85	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↓ (5.6)	4.09 ↑ (3.85)	1.64 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
18.8%

Draw
23.2%

Krasnodar
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.5%

24%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

23.2%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th in the Relegation - FNL and 3rd).

Rodina is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Krasnodar have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Krasnodar carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Rodina has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Krasnodar	12	6	5	1	20:14	6	23
15	Rodina Moscow	12	2	3	7	13:27	-14	9

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Krasnodar: 8.38% Rodina Moscow: 0.86%

Last Results with these Odds

Krasnodar - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.55%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian Premier League
24.10.26	Fakel - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
19.10.26	Rodina Moscow - Orenburg	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.26	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
11.10.26	CSKA Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLLL
- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
24.10.26	Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar	3:3 ✺
Russian Cup
13.10.26	Krasnodar - Fakel	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Krasnodar - Zenit	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Rostov - Krasnodar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.02.24	Krasnodar - Rodina Moscow	3:0

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