Match Info

National League North - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.85	3.65	3.6
	1.89	3.73	3.73
	1.84	3.92	3.68	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.78	3.54	3.91
	1.85	3.6	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.79)	3.63 ↓ (3.91)	3.65 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
49.8%

Draw
25.2%

Bedford Town
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.8%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

20.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scarborough Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Scarborough Athletic - Bedford Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarborough (votes: 1 - 50%). Bedford (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Marsh T. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Green H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Godden J. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Allan R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

Scarborough has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bedford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Scarborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Scarborough has had a series of away games.

Scarborough might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
29.11.25	Macclesfield Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Scarborough Athletic - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Leek Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Worksop Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLWL
- Bedford Town
English National League North
29.11.25	Bedford Town - Darlington	3:4 ✺
25.11.25	Peterborough Sports - Bedford Town	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Chorley - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Bedford Town - Anstey Nomads	0:1 ✺
English National League North
11.11.25	Bedford Town - Buxton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

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