The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chester 63.2%
Draw 21.2%
Bedford Town 15.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.2%
22.1%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.1%
23.5%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
The ML Model estimate for Bedford Town aligns with the current prediction.
Chester - Bedford Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, Moore K. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 7th in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th).
Chester is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bedford has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chester could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Chester for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Chester has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chester against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
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