Match Info

National League North - Round 14

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Hebburn Town		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.55
	2.20	3.40	2.65
	2.28	3.45	2.65
	2.31	3.71	2.81
	2.31	3.68	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.75
	2.39	3.64	2.66
	2.27	3.50	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)	3.56 ↓ (3.63)	2.68 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
40.1%

Draw
25.8%

Scarborough Athletic
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

24.8%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Hebburn Town - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Allan R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', (Penalty Awarded),
80', 0 - 2, Thornton W. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 7th in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 19th).

Hebburn has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Scarborough is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Hebburn could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hebburn Town	12	5	3	4	16:21	-5	18
14	Scarborough	12	4	3	5	18:16	2	15

Outrights of English National League North for now

Hebburn Town: 0.73%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English National League North
10.10.26	Hebburn Town - Oxford City	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Darlington - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Hebburn Town - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Radcliffe - Hebburn Town	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Hebburn Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLT
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
10.10.26	Radcliffe - Scarborough Athletic	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.10.26	Scarborough Athletic - Macclesfield Town	1:2 AET ✺
03.10.26	Macclesfield Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:2 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Brackley Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Scarborough Athletic - Merthyr Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTT

Upcoming Matches