Match Info

National League North - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.7
	1.92	3.4	3.55
	1.9	3.74	3.66
	1.91	3.72	3.61	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	1.89	3.45	3.57
	1.87	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.03)	3.53 ↓ (3.59)	3.6 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
48.4%

Draw
26%

Curzon Ashton
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Weledji K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Scarborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Scarborough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Scarborough	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
10.02.26	Scarborough Athletic - South Shields	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Marine - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Scarborough Athletic - Worksop Town	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Radcliffe - Scarborough Athletic	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Scarborough Athletic - Kidderminster Harriers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTTWL
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
10.02.26	Curzon Ashton - Marine	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Peterborough Sports - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Curzon Ashton - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Curzon Ashton - Hereford	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leamington - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
08.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	1:2
01.03.25	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	2:1
22.10.24	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	0:2
12.03.24	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	0:2
24.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	0:1
07.04.23	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	0:1
English FA Cup
04.10.22	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	3:2 ET

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