Match Info

National League North - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.7
	4.15	3.55	1.75
	4.22	3.62	1.81
	4.12	3.77	1.78	Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.75
	4.33	3.44	1.73
	4	3.6	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.14)	3.57 ↑ (3.45)	1.76 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
21.9%

Draw
25.7%

Kidderminster Harriers
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.9%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scarborough Athletic's form might have worsened.

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kidderminster Harriers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scarborough Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Scarborough Athletic - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarborough (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kidderminster (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Davis D. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Davis D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Scarborough have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kidderminster is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Kidderminster has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kidderminster is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Scarborough	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
17.01.26	Fylde - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Southport - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTTL
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
17.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Worksop Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Morecambe	6:2 ✺
English National League North
03.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Curzon Ashton	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Kidderminster Harriers - AFC Telford United	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	Hereford - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.08.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Scarborough Athletic	1:0
08.03.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Scarborough Athletic	3:0
14.01.25	Scarborough Athletic - Kidderminster Harriers	2:3
04.02.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Scarborough Athletic	0:1
01.11.22	Scarborough Athletic - Kidderminster Harriers	4:2

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