Match Info

National League North - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne) 🌤️ ...


	Curzon Ashton		Hereford

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.3
	2.62	3.5	2.35
	2.66	3.68	2.4
	2.64	3.63	2.41	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.4
	2.6	3.42	2.31
	2.57	3.6	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.46)	3.55 ↓ (3.66)	2.36 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
35.2%

Draw
25.9%

Hereford
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.3%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Curzon Ashton - Hereford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Hudson L. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Darby B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 1, Amado J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Curzon Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hereford	13	8	2	3	24:8	16	26

Last Results with these Odds

Curzon Ashton - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.7%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
24.01.26	Leamington - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United	0:8 ✺
03.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Curzon Ashton	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Southport - Curzon Ashton	2:4 ✺
26.12.25	Curzon Ashton - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
17.01.26	King`s Lynn Town - Hereford	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Hereford - Fylde	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League North
30.12.25	Merthyr Town - Hereford	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Hereford - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Chorley - Hereford	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
01.11.25	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:3
22.03.25	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:1
19.10.24	Curzon Ashton - Hereford	1:2
02.03.24	Curzon Ashton - Hereford	1:0
21.10.23	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:1
18.02.23	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	0:2
29.10.22	Curzon Ashton - Hereford	1:3

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