Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA NIEDERRHEIN - ROUND 16

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Schwarz-Weiß Essen		TVD Velbert

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.6
	2.29	3.72	2.73
	2.33	3.72	2.68
	2.28	3.6	2.56
	2.3	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.71)	3.65 ↓ (3.73)	2.63 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schwarz-Weiß Essen
39.9%

Draw
25.2%

TVD Velbert
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

24.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.2%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schwarz-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schwarz-Weiß Essen's performance.

TVD Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TVD Velbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schwarz-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schwarz-Weiß Essen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TVD Velbert than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TVD Velbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Postponed due to snow.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Schwarz-Weiß Essen won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Schwarz-Weiß Essen have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Schwarz-Weiß Essen won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Schwarz-Weiß Essen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schwarz-Weiß Essen
Club Friendly
18.01.24	Sterkrade-Nord - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	0:0 ✺
German Oberliga Niederrhein
15.12.23	Straelen - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Kleve - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Homberg	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	St Tonis - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWL
- TVD Velbert
German Oberliga Niederrhein
15.12.23	TVD Velbert - Germania Ratingen	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	TVD Velbert - Mulheimer FC 97	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.11.23	Schonnebeck - TVD Velbert	4:1 ✺
German Oberliga Niederrhein
19.11.23	TVD Velbert - Adler Union Frintrop	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Meerbusch - TVD Velbert	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
22.03.23	TVD Velbert - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:0
21.09.22	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - TVD Velbert	2:1
03.06.22	TVD Velbert - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:6
24.10.21	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - TVD Velbert	5:1
14.12.19	TVD Velbert - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	2:0
14.08.19	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - TVD Velbert	1:0

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