Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Scunthorpe United		Newcastle United U21

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.97	2.58
	2.2	3.98	2.63	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.5
	2.34	3.9	2.6
	2.25	3.6	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.56)	3.79 ↓ (3.81)	2.58 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
40.2%

Draw
24.2%

Newcastle United U21
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

23.3%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scunthorpe United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scunthorpe United - Newcastle United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jones L. (G) 44. Barrows R. 4. Belehouan J. 23. Chadwick B. 22. Dawson J. 33. Denton T. (C) 3. Horton B. 7. Howe D. 28. Oteh A. 11. Rowley J. 20. Scales K.	1. Taylor J. (G) 10. Alabi S. 2. Ashby H. 9. Brayson J. 3. Charlton D. 6. Finneran R. 7. Harrison A. 5. Heffernan C. (C) 4. McArthur C. 11. Park Seung-soo 8. Shahar L.
Substitutes
1. Campbell M. (G) 15. Eze D. 24. Shipstone H. 21. Starbuck J. 14. Ubaezuonu C. 25. Westbrooke Z.	14. Bryant T. 17. Ferreira M. 13. Harrison A. (G) 16. Palmer D. 12. Thompson C. 18. Wooster K. 15. Yildiz B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Oteh A. ⚽, Scales K. (A),
39', Horton B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Denton T. ↓, Starbuck J. ↑,
46', Dawson J. ↓, Eze D. ↑,
46', Belehouan J. ↓, Shipstone H. ↑,
46', Rowley J. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
63', Brayson J. ↓, Wooster K. ↑,
63', Barrows R. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
71', Alabi S. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
71', Charlton D. ↓, Bryant T. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Howe D. ⚽, Chadwick B. (A),
85', Finneran R. ↓, Palmer D. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Scunthorpe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League
29.11.25	Altrincham - Scunthorpe United	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Scunthorpe United - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Solihull Moors - Scunthorpe United	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Scunthorpe United - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Blackpool - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLWL
- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League International Cup
21.11.25	Newcastle United U21 - Paris SG U21	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Newcastle United U21 - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Harrogate Town - Newcastle United U21	3:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
08.11.25	Newcastle United U21 - Burnley U21	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Ipswich Town U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWL

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